Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Hurricane Dorian

It is very difficult, if not impossible to argue that any given hurricane is caused by climate change, but what science can tell us is that climate change has an effect on the strength of hurricanes, damage done by hurricanes, rainfall produced by hurricanes, etc. And the science on this is very clear. An excellent review of climate change and hurricanes can be found here by the Union of Concerned Scientists:

Hurricanes and Climate Change

As of this writing there is currently a hurricane, Hurricane Dorian, sitting off the east coast of Florida and slowly turning northward. It is uncertain where or if this hurricane will make landfall, but it has the potential to cause tremendous damage. This hurricane started as a tropical storm in the east Atlantic and slowly worked its way west. It reached Category 5 status for a period of time, meaning sustained wind speeds exceeded 157 mph. Although it is only a Category 2 hurricane right now, with sustained wind speeds of 110 mph, the strength could increase again, or if not, it could still cause tremendous damage to the coast depending on how slow it moves and how much rain it dumps.

For hurricanes, wind speed is not the most dangerous or damaging aspect. Rainfall, ocean waves, and flooding is a greater concern. The latest update by The Weather Channel can be found here:

Hurricane Dorian Finally Moving Away From Grand Bahama Island

The damage to the Bahamas is yet to be determined, but it must be tremendous. This hurricane stalled to a near stop for 24 hours directly over the Bahamas.

Hurricanes are a devastating force and they are a natural part of Earth's climate. Climate change, however, is raising sea levels, resulting in greater flooding when hurricanes occur. Climate change is also changing the water temperature conditions to produce stronger hurricanes with more devastating effects and greater produced rainfall and flooding. There is no doubt about it. Climate change did not cause hurricanes and it may not be increasing the number of hurricanes, but there is no doubt it is increasing the damaging effects of hurricanes. This results in more property damage, lost homes, and lost lives.

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